Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning him as the strong favorite in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting concentrated the district within Dallas County, preserving its deep-blue partisan composition anchored in urban and suburban voters. Allred's established profile as a former three-term representative, substantial campaign funds exceeding several million dollars, and endorsements from key party figures contrast with Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie's minimal fundraising and limited visibility. Traders assign overwhelming probability to Allred based on historical performance in similar districts and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late-cycle events such as a significant scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
$15,594 KL.
$15,594 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Colin Allred (D)
96%
Patrick Gillespie (R)
1%
$15,594 KL.
$15,594 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Colin Allred (D)
$3,095 KL.
96%
Patrick Gillespie (R)
$12,499 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning him as the strong favorite in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting concentrated the district within Dallas County, preserving its deep-blue partisan composition anchored in urban and suburban voters. Allred's established profile as a former three-term representative, substantial campaign funds exceeding several million dollars, and endorsements from key party figures contrast with Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie's minimal fundraising and limited visibility. Traders assign overwhelming probability to Allred based on historical performance in similar districts and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late-cycle events such as a significant scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,594Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning him as the strong favorite in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting concentrated the district within Dallas County, preserving its deep-blue partisan composition anchored in urban and suburban voters. Allred's established profile as a former three-term representative, substantial campaign funds exceeding several million dollars, and endorsements from key party figures contrast with Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie's minimal fundraising and limited visibility. Traders assign overwhelming probability to Allred based on historical performance in similar districts and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late-cycle events such as a significant scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,594Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning him as the strong favorite in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting concentrated the district within Dallas County, preserving its deep-blue partisan composition anchored in urban and suburban voters. Allred's established profile as a former three-term representative, substantial campaign funds exceeding several million dollars, and endorsements from key party figures contrast with Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie's minimal fundraising and limited visibility. Traders assign overwhelming probability to Allred based on historical performance in similar districts and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late-cycle events such as a significant scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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