The 25th Amendment's invocation to remove a sitting president requires the vice president and a majority of the cabinet to declare incapacity, followed by potential congressional override, a process that has never succeeded against an elected incumbent. With Donald Trump holding office through 2026, trader consensus at 97% against removal before 2027 reflects the unlikelihood of his own appointees initiating such action amid stable cabinet alignment and absence of documented incapacity. Recent political developments, including ongoing executive priorities and party cohesion, have reinforced this positioning. Still, late developments such as a sudden medical event, widespread cabinet defections, or unforeseen legal challenges could shift dynamics within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3% khả năng
$50,256 KL.
$50,256 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3% khả năng
$50,256 KL.
$50,256 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The 25th Amendment's invocation to remove a sitting president requires the vice president and a majority of the cabinet to declare incapacity, followed by potential congressional override, a process that has never succeeded against an elected incumbent. With Donald Trump holding office through 2026, trader consensus at 97% against removal before 2027 reflects the unlikelihood of his own appointees initiating such action amid stable cabinet alignment and absence of documented incapacity. Recent political developments, including ongoing executive priorities and party cohesion, have reinforced this positioning. Still, late developments such as a sudden medical event, widespread cabinet defections, or unforeseen legal challenges could shift dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$50,256Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The 25th Amendment's invocation to remove a sitting president requires the vice president and a majority of the cabinet to declare incapacity, followed by potential congressional override, a process that has never succeeded against an elected incumbent. With Donald Trump holding office through 2026, trader consensus at 97% against removal before 2027 reflects the unlikelihood of his own appointees initiating such action amid stable cabinet alignment and absence of documented incapacity. Recent political developments, including ongoing executive priorities and party cohesion, have reinforced this positioning. Still, late developments such as a sudden medical event, widespread cabinet defections, or unforeseen legal challenges could shift dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Khối lượng
$50,256Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The 25th Amendment's invocation to remove a sitting president requires the vice president and a majority of the cabinet to declare incapacity, followed by potential congressional override, a process that has never succeeded against an elected incumbent. With Donald Trump holding office through 2026, trader consensus at 97% against removal before 2027 reflects the unlikelihood of his own appointees initiating such action amid stable cabinet alignment and absence of documented incapacity. Recent political developments, including ongoing executive priorities and party cohesion, have reinforced this positioning. Still, late developments such as a sudden medical event, widespread cabinet defections, or unforeseen legal challenges could shift dynamics within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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