Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMoonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.9%
OpenAI 8%
Google 6.5%
$24,004 KL.
$24,004 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
41%
SpaceXAI
11%
OpenAI
8%
6%
Z.ai
6%
Microsoft
5%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
5%
Anthropic
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.9%
OpenAI 8%
Google 6.5%
$24,004 KL.
$24,004 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
$10,352 KL.
41%
SpaceXAI
$2,304 KL.
11%
OpenAI
$5,965 KL.
8%
$295 KL.
6%
Z.ai
$454 KL.
6%
Microsoft
$257 KL.
5%
Alibaba
$669 KL.
4%
Xiaomi
$262 KL.
5%
Anthropic
$1,067 KL.
4%
DeepSeek
$342 KL.
1%
Meta
$234 KL.
1%
Baidu
$229 KL.
1%
MiniMax
$229 KL.
1%
Nvidia
$189 KL.
1%
Amazon
$206 KL.
1%
Mistral
$234 KL.
1%
Meituan
$229 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$488 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,004Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$24,004Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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