**Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects intense speculation around an unconfirmed Opus 5.2 variant following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1.** Recent social media reports of internal routing changes and paid-surface availability have fueled near-term probabilities, with September 21–22 emerging as frontrunners amid Anthropic’s history of rapid Opus iterations (often 4–8 weeks apart). At the same time, the substantial 23.5% chance of no release by September 30 captures uncertainty over official timelines, lack of announcements, and the company’s focus on interface unification and document tools announced mid-month. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and Google, alongside typical post-major-release stabilization periods, keep outcomes tightly contested while underscoring how quickly new information can shift these skin-in-the-game odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember 21 30.3%
September 22 25%
No release by September 30 24%
September 24 14%
$24,104 KL.
$24,104 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
September 19
<1%
September 20
1%
September 21
30%
September 22
25%
September 23
1%
September 24
14%
September 25
2%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
<1%
September 29
1%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
24%
September 21 30.3%
September 22 25%
No release by September 30 24%
September 24 14%
$24,104 KL.
$24,104 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
September 19
$669 KL.
<1%
September 20
$1,149 KL.
1%
September 21
$7,793 KL.
30%
September 22
$2,022 KL.
25%
September 23
$1,057 KL.
1%
September 24
$2,484 KL.
14%
September 25
$784 KL.
2%
September 26
$578 KL.
<1%
September 27
$776 KL.
<1%
September 28
$345 KL.
<1%
September 29
$1,178 KL.
1%
September 30
$1,306 KL.
1%
No release by September 30
$2,652 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects intense speculation around an unconfirmed Opus 5.2 variant following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1.** Recent social media reports of internal routing changes and paid-surface availability have fueled near-term probabilities, with September 21–22 emerging as frontrunners amid Anthropic’s history of rapid Opus iterations (often 4–8 weeks apart). At the same time, the substantial 23.5% chance of no release by September 30 captures uncertainty over official timelines, lack of announcements, and the company’s focus on interface unification and document tools announced mid-month. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and Google, alongside typical post-major-release stabilization periods, keep outcomes tightly contested while underscoring how quickly new information can shift these skin-in-the-game odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,104Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects intense speculation around an unconfirmed Opus 5.2 variant following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1.** Recent social media reports of internal routing changes and paid-surface availability have fueled near-term probabilities, with September 21–22 emerging as frontrunners amid Anthropic’s history of rapid Opus iterations (often 4–8 weeks apart). At the same time, the substantial 23.5% chance of no release by September 30 captures uncertainty over official timelines, lack of announcements, and the company’s focus on interface unification and document tools announced mid-month. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and Google, alongside typical post-major-release stabilization periods, keep outcomes tightly contested while underscoring how quickly new information can shift these skin-in-the-game odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$24,104Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects intense speculation around an unconfirmed Opus 5.2 variant following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and the September 1 debut of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1.** Recent social media reports of internal routing changes and paid-surface availability have fueled near-term probabilities, with September 21–22 emerging as frontrunners amid Anthropic’s history of rapid Opus iterations (often 4–8 weeks apart). At the same time, the substantial 23.5% chance of no release by September 30 captures uncertainty over official timelines, lack of announcements, and the company’s focus on interface unification and document tools announced mid-month. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and Google, alongside typical post-major-release stabilization periods, keep outcomes tightly contested while underscoring how quickly new information can shift these skin-in-the-game odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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