OpenAI holds the strongest trader consensus for second-best AI agent lab by end of October due to its scaled deployment of agentic systems like Codex, which demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and long-horizon task execution across benchmarks and real-world usage. Recent internal data shows non-developer adoption surging and agents driving the majority of output tokens at the company itself. A September 20 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI to slow development for safety introduces shared regulatory risk but has not shifted OpenAI's edge. Anthropic trails on agent-specific progress despite Claude's growing internal R&D role, while Google and xAI lag further on demonstrated agent leaderboards ahead of the October 31 arena.ai snapshot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 87%
Anthropic 10%
Google 3.8%
SpaceXAI 2.6%
$39,553 KL.
$39,553 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
87%
Anthropic
10%
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
Moonshot
2%
MiniMax
1%
Amazon
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meituan
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meta
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
OpenAI 87%
Anthropic 10%
Google 3.8%
SpaceXAI 2.6%
$39,553 KL.
$39,553 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$15,189 KL.
87%
Anthropic
$5,638 KL.
10%
$1,808 KL.
4%
SpaceXAI
$821 KL.
3%
Moonshot
$7,841 KL.
2%
MiniMax
$737 KL.
1%
Amazon
$716 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$671 KL.
1%
Meituan
$634 KL.
1%
Alibaba
$670 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$714 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$473 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$616 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$578 KL.
<1%
Meta
$617 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$760 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$669 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$400 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the strongest trader consensus for second-best AI agent lab by end of October due to its scaled deployment of agentic systems like Codex, which demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and long-horizon task execution across benchmarks and real-world usage. Recent internal data shows non-developer adoption surging and agents driving the majority of output tokens at the company itself. A September 20 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI to slow development for safety introduces shared regulatory risk but has not shifted OpenAI's edge. Anthropic trails on agent-specific progress despite Claude's growing internal R&D role, while Google and xAI lag further on demonstrated agent leaderboards ahead of the October 31 arena.ai snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$39,553Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the strongest trader consensus for second-best AI agent lab by end of October due to its scaled deployment of agentic systems like Codex, which demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and long-horizon task execution across benchmarks and real-world usage. Recent internal data shows non-developer adoption surging and agents driving the majority of output tokens at the company itself. A September 20 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI to slow development for safety introduces shared regulatory risk but has not shifted OpenAI's edge. Anthropic trails on agent-specific progress despite Claude's growing internal R&D role, while Google and xAI lag further on demonstrated agent leaderboards ahead of the October 31 arena.ai snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$39,553Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds the strongest trader consensus for second-best AI agent lab by end of October due to its scaled deployment of agentic systems like Codex, which demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and long-horizon task execution across benchmarks and real-world usage. Recent internal data shows non-developer adoption surging and agents driving the majority of output tokens at the company itself. A September 20 antitrust lawsuit alleging coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI to slow development for safety introduces shared regulatory risk but has not shifted OpenAI's edge. Anthropic trails on agent-specific progress despite Claude's growing internal R&D role, while Google and xAI lag further on demonstrated agent leaderboards ahead of the October 31 arena.ai snapshot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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