Recent polling shows both the Texas governor and Senate races remain highly competitive heading into early voting, with Republican Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa in most aggregates while Democrat James Talarico leads or ties Republican Ken Paxton in the Senate contest. Voter priorities on the economy, affordability, border security, and data center regulation have kept margins tight, with shifts among independents and Hispanic voters contributing to volatility. These dynamics support trader consensus around elevated odds for split-party control, as neither candidate has established a durable advantage across both statewide ballots. Late-cycle events such as additional debate performances or turnout surges in key regions could still alter the balance before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 43%
Reps sweep 31%
Dems sweep 24%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
43%
Reps sweep
31%
Dems sweep
24%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
1%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 43%
Reps sweep 31%
Dems sweep 24%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$2,462 KL.
43%
Reps sweep
$1,322 KL.
31%
Dems sweep
$1,180 KL.
24%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$357 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows both the Texas governor and Senate races remain highly competitive heading into early voting, with Republican Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa in most aggregates while Democrat James Talarico leads or ties Republican Ken Paxton in the Senate contest. Voter priorities on the economy, affordability, border security, and data center regulation have kept margins tight, with shifts among independents and Hispanic voters contributing to volatility. These dynamics support trader consensus around elevated odds for split-party control, as neither candidate has established a durable advantage across both statewide ballots. Late-cycle events such as additional debate performances or turnout surges in key regions could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,320Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows both the Texas governor and Senate races remain highly competitive heading into early voting, with Republican Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa in most aggregates while Democrat James Talarico leads or ties Republican Ken Paxton in the Senate contest. Voter priorities on the economy, affordability, border security, and data center regulation have kept margins tight, with shifts among independents and Hispanic voters contributing to volatility. These dynamics support trader consensus around elevated odds for split-party control, as neither candidate has established a durable advantage across both statewide ballots. Late-cycle events such as additional debate performances or turnout surges in key regions could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$5,320Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows both the Texas governor and Senate races remain highly competitive heading into early voting, with Republican Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa in most aggregates while Democrat James Talarico leads or ties Republican Ken Paxton in the Senate contest. Voter priorities on the economy, affordability, border security, and data center regulation have kept margins tight, with shifts among independents and Hispanic voters contributing to volatility. These dynamics support trader consensus around elevated odds for split-party control, as neither candidate has established a durable advantage across both statewide ballots. Late-cycle events such as additional debate performances or turnout surges in key regions could still alter the balance before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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