Republican incumbents and nominees hold structural edges in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. In the Senate race, Roger Marshall leads Adam Hamilton by roughly three points in recent polling aggregates, consistent with the seat’s long Republican history. The open gubernatorial contest pits Republican state Senate President Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican, though some surveys show it within the margin of error. These dynamics produce the highest market probability on a Republican sweep of both offices, while split-ticket outcomes and a Democratic sweep trail as lower-probability alternatives. Primary results from August and subsequent general-election polling through early September have reinforced rather than altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtReps sweep 62%
Dems sweep 13%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 11%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Reps sweep
62%
Dems sweep
11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
11%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
3%
Reps sweep 62%
Dems sweep 13%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 11%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Reps sweep
$3,215 KL.
62%
Dems sweep
$297 KL.
11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$1,601 KL.
11%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$201 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican incumbents and nominees hold structural edges in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. In the Senate race, Roger Marshall leads Adam Hamilton by roughly three points in recent polling aggregates, consistent with the seat’s long Republican history. The open gubernatorial contest pits Republican state Senate President Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican, though some surveys show it within the margin of error. These dynamics produce the highest market probability on a Republican sweep of both offices, while split-ticket outcomes and a Democratic sweep trail as lower-probability alternatives. Primary results from August and subsequent general-election polling through early September have reinforced rather than altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,314Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican incumbents and nominees hold structural edges in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. In the Senate race, Roger Marshall leads Adam Hamilton by roughly three points in recent polling aggregates, consistent with the seat’s long Republican history. The open gubernatorial contest pits Republican state Senate President Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican, though some surveys show it within the margin of error. These dynamics produce the highest market probability on a Republican sweep of both offices, while split-ticket outcomes and a Democratic sweep trail as lower-probability alternatives. Primary results from August and subsequent general-election polling through early September have reinforced rather than altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$5,314Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Republican incumbents and nominees hold structural edges in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. In the Senate race, Roger Marshall leads Adam Hamilton by roughly three points in recent polling aggregates, consistent with the seat’s long Republican history. The open gubernatorial contest pits Republican state Senate President Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Republican, though some surveys show it within the margin of error. These dynamics produce the highest market probability on a Republican sweep of both offices, while split-ticket outcomes and a Democratic sweep trail as lower-probability alternatives. Primary results from August and subsequent general-election polling through early September have reinforced rather than altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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