Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems win Gov, Reps win Senate 47%
Dems sweep 40%
Reps sweep 15%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 2.8%
$10,794 KL.
$10,794 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
47%
Dems sweep
40%
Reps sweep
15%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
3%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 47%
Dems sweep 40%
Reps sweep 15%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 2.8%
$10,794 KL.
$10,794 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$3,923 KL.
47%
Dems sweep
$3,172 KL.
40%
Reps sweep
$2,932 KL.
15%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$767 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,794Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$10,794Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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