All three Senate contests remain toss-ups with polling averages showing margins of 1-3 points or less as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are essentially tied in recent surveys after Paxton's primary victory. Michigan's open seat features Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow edge over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. Maine's race between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democrat Troy Jackson has tightened into a statistical dead heat. These consistent results, combined with sizable blocs of persuadable voters and the impact of cost-of-living concerns, keep any single outcome—including a Democratic sweep—well below 50 percent in trader pricing while elevating probabilities for mixed results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 43%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%
Reps sweep 7.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
43%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
11%
Reps sweep
7%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
7%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
7%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
11%
Dems sweep 43%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%
Reps sweep 7.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$1,338 KL.
43%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
$169 KL.
12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
$157 KL.
11%
Reps sweep
$131 KL.
7%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
$116 KL.
7%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
$164 KL.
7%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
$142 KL.
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
$119 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three Senate contests remain toss-ups with polling averages showing margins of 1-3 points or less as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are essentially tied in recent surveys after Paxton's primary victory. Michigan's open seat features Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow edge over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. Maine's race between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democrat Troy Jackson has tightened into a statistical dead heat. These consistent results, combined with sizable blocs of persuadable voters and the impact of cost-of-living concerns, keep any single outcome—including a Democratic sweep—well below 50 percent in trader pricing while elevating probabilities for mixed results.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,336Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three Senate contests remain toss-ups with polling averages showing margins of 1-3 points or less as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are essentially tied in recent surveys after Paxton's primary victory. Michigan's open seat features Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow edge over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. Maine's race between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democrat Troy Jackson has tightened into a statistical dead heat. These consistent results, combined with sizable blocs of persuadable voters and the impact of cost-of-living concerns, keep any single outcome—including a Democratic sweep—well below 50 percent in trader pricing while elevating probabilities for mixed results.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$2,336Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...All three Senate contests remain toss-ups with polling averages showing margins of 1-3 points or less as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are essentially tied in recent surveys after Paxton's primary victory. Michigan's open seat features Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow edge over Republican Mike Rogers following the August primary. Maine's race between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democrat Troy Jackson has tightened into a statistical dead heat. These consistent results, combined with sizable blocs of persuadable voters and the impact of cost-of-living concerns, keep any single outcome—including a Democratic sweep—well below 50 percent in trader pricing while elevating probabilities for mixed results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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