**Minnesota's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races both favor Democratic nominees following August primaries, driving the elevated probability of a Democratic sweep.** In the open Senate contest vacated by Tina Smith, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Republican Michele Tafoya by narrow margins in recent polls (around 44-45% to 41-42%), consistent with "likely Democratic" or "lean Democratic" ratings from multiple forecasters. For governor, Sen. Amy Klobuchar holds double-digit leads over House Speaker Lisa Demuth in head-to-head polling, aligning with "solid Democratic" assessments for the open seat left by Tim Walz. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of Democrats winning both offices, while split outcomes and a Republican sweep remain low-probability scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.5%
Reps sweep 1.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
4%
Reps sweep
2%
Dems sweep 89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.5%
Reps sweep 1.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$600 KL.
89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$91 KL.
7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$121 KL.
4%
Reps sweep
$214 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
**Minnesota's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races both favor Democratic nominees following August primaries, driving the elevated probability of a Democratic sweep.** In the open Senate contest vacated by Tina Smith, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Republican Michele Tafoya by narrow margins in recent polls (around 44-45% to 41-42%), consistent with "likely Democratic" or "lean Democratic" ratings from multiple forecasters. For governor, Sen. Amy Klobuchar holds double-digit leads over House Speaker Lisa Demuth in head-to-head polling, aligning with "solid Democratic" assessments for the open seat left by Tim Walz. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of Democrats winning both offices, while split outcomes and a Republican sweep remain low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,026Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
**Minnesota's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races both favor Democratic nominees following August primaries, driving the elevated probability of a Democratic sweep.** In the open Senate contest vacated by Tina Smith, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Republican Michele Tafoya by narrow margins in recent polls (around 44-45% to 41-42%), consistent with "likely Democratic" or "lean Democratic" ratings from multiple forecasters. For governor, Sen. Amy Klobuchar holds double-digit leads over House Speaker Lisa Demuth in head-to-head polling, aligning with "solid Democratic" assessments for the open seat left by Tim Walz. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of Democrats winning both offices, while split outcomes and a Republican sweep remain low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$1,026Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Minnesota's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races both favor Democratic nominees following August primaries, driving the elevated probability of a Democratic sweep.** In the open Senate contest vacated by Tina Smith, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Republican Michele Tafoya by narrow margins in recent polls (around 44-45% to 41-42%), consistent with "likely Democratic" or "lean Democratic" ratings from multiple forecasters. For governor, Sen. Amy Klobuchar holds double-digit leads over House Speaker Lisa Demuth in head-to-head polling, aligning with "solid Democratic" assessments for the open seat left by Tim Walz. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of Democrats winning both offices, while split outcomes and a Republican sweep remain low-probability scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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