Incumbent Grace Meng's commanding position in the NY-06 race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, her renomination in the June 2026 primary against a credible challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's limited resources. Forecasters rate the Queens-based seat as solidly Democratic, consistent with its partisan voter index and historical results. Chou advanced unopposed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus prices Meng at 94.5 percent largely due to these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political swings, candidate-specific developments before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-06 House Election Winner
NY-06 House Election Winner
$21,609 KL.
$21,609 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Grace Meng (D)
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
6%
$21,609 KL.
$21,609 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Grace Meng (D)
$10,037 KL.
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
$11,572 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng's commanding position in the NY-06 race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, her renomination in the June 2026 primary against a credible challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's limited resources. Forecasters rate the Queens-based seat as solidly Democratic, consistent with its partisan voter index and historical results. Chou advanced unopposed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus prices Meng at 94.5 percent largely due to these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political swings, candidate-specific developments before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,609Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng's commanding position in the NY-06 race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, her renomination in the June 2026 primary against a credible challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's limited resources. Forecasters rate the Queens-based seat as solidly Democratic, consistent with its partisan voter index and historical results. Chou advanced unopposed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus prices Meng at 94.5 percent largely due to these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political swings, candidate-specific developments before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,609Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Grace Meng's commanding position in the NY-06 race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, her renomination in the June 2026 primary against a credible challenger, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's limited resources. Forecasters rate the Queens-based seat as solidly Democratic, consistent with its partisan voter index and historical results. Chou advanced unopposed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus prices Meng at 94.5 percent largely due to these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political swings, candidate-specific developments before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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