Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his recent primary victory over Representative Seth Moulton. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by roughly 20 points, reflecting Markey's established support among Democratic voters and the limited crossover appeal available to challengers in this environment. Deaton, a trial attorney running unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates seeking statewide office here. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, as the implied probability leaves little room for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues, late-breaking scandals, or abrupt national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$48,024 KL.
$48,024 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 KL.
$48,024 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 KL.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his recent primary victory over Representative Seth Moulton. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by roughly 20 points, reflecting Markey's established support among Democratic voters and the limited crossover appeal available to challengers in this environment. Deaton, a trial attorney running unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates seeking statewide office here. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, as the implied probability leaves little room for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues, late-breaking scandals, or abrupt national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$48,024Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his recent primary victory over Representative Seth Moulton. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by roughly 20 points, reflecting Markey's established support among Democratic voters and the limited crossover appeal available to challengers in this environment. Deaton, a trial attorney running unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates seeking statewide office here. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, as the implied probability leaves little room for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues, late-breaking scandals, or abrupt national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$48,024Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his recent primary victory over Representative Seth Moulton. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by roughly 20 points, reflecting Markey's established support among Democratic voters and the limited crossover appeal available to challengers in this environment. Deaton, a trial attorney running unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates seeking statewide office here. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, as the implied probability leaves little room for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues, late-breaking scandals, or abrupt national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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