Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City overnight lows of 10–13°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with the ongoing rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. These conditions limit radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies while maintaining moderate humidity and light winds, keeping minimum temperatures above historical September averages near 13°C but preventing sharp drops. Trader consensus around 12°C outcomes reflects model agreement on these factors, with differentiation hinging on exact cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and any late-model shifts in steering patterns that could allow clearer skies and lower readings near 9–10°C or hold values near 14–15°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
7°C or below 98%
12°C 98%
13°C 98%
16°C 98%
7°C or below
98%
8°C
37%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
37%
12°C
98%
13°C
98%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
98%
17°C or higher
98%
7°C or below 98%
12°C 98%
13°C 98%
16°C 98%
7°C or below
98%
8°C
37%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
37%
12°C
98%
13°C
98%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
98%
17°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City overnight lows of 10–13°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with the ongoing rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. These conditions limit radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies while maintaining moderate humidity and light winds, keeping minimum temperatures above historical September averages near 13°C but preventing sharp drops. Trader consensus around 12°C outcomes reflects model agreement on these factors, with differentiation hinging on exact cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and any late-model shifts in steering patterns that could allow clearer skies and lower readings near 9–10°C or hold values near 14–15°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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