**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for San Francisco’s highest temperature on September 22, 2026, centers on the 66–71°F range, with 68–69°F leading at 36% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts issued September 21 project a Tuesday high near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies after morning marine-layer influence and light drizzle chances. Southwest winds of 5–15 mph are expected to maintain onshore flow, limiting warming while gradual clearing allows afternoon temperatures to reach the upper 60s to low 70s. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which typically caps coastal highs in this season, versus any reduction in cloud cover or slight offshore wind shift that could add 1–2°F. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 65–70°F band consistent with climatological norms for late September. No significant synoptic changes or heat intrusions are indicated in the latest updates, keeping probabilities tightly grouped around the NWS point forecast and supporting the market’s narrow distribution across the 66–71°F outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 31%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 31%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
61°F or below
$370 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$313 KL.
3%
64-65°F
$472 KL.
10%
66-67°F
$757 KL.
31%
68-69°F
$822 KL.
36%
70-71°F
$552 KL.
17%
72-73°F
$431 KL.
5%
74-75°F
$188 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$48 KL.
1%
78-79°F
$99 KL.
<1%
80°F or higher
$95 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for San Francisco’s highest temperature on September 22, 2026, centers on the 66–71°F range, with 68–69°F leading at 36% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts issued September 21 project a Tuesday high near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies after morning marine-layer influence and light drizzle chances. Southwest winds of 5–15 mph are expected to maintain onshore flow, limiting warming while gradual clearing allows afternoon temperatures to reach the upper 60s to low 70s.
Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which typically caps coastal highs in this season, versus any reduction in cloud cover or slight offshore wind shift that could add 1–2°F. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 65–70°F band consistent with climatological norms for late September. No significant synoptic changes or heat intrusions are indicated in the latest updates, keeping probabilities tightly grouped around the NWS point forecast and supporting the market’s narrow distribution across the 66–71°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,147Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for San Francisco’s highest temperature on September 22, 2026, centers on the 66–71°F range, with 68–69°F leading at 36% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts issued September 21 project a Tuesday high near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies after morning marine-layer influence and light drizzle chances. Southwest winds of 5–15 mph are expected to maintain onshore flow, limiting warming while gradual clearing allows afternoon temperatures to reach the upper 60s to low 70s.
Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which typically caps coastal highs in this season, versus any reduction in cloud cover or slight offshore wind shift that could add 1–2°F. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 65–70°F band consistent with climatological norms for late September. No significant synoptic changes or heat intrusions are indicated in the latest updates, keeping probabilities tightly grouped around the NWS point forecast and supporting the market’s narrow distribution across the 66–71°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,147Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for San Francisco’s highest temperature on September 22, 2026, centers on the 66–71°F range, with 68–69°F leading at 36% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts issued September 21 project a Tuesday high near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies after morning marine-layer influence and light drizzle chances. Southwest winds of 5–15 mph are expected to maintain onshore flow, limiting warming while gradual clearing allows afternoon temperatures to reach the upper 60s to low 70s. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which typically caps coastal highs in this season, versus any reduction in cloud cover or slight offshore wind shift that could add 1–2°F. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 65–70°F band consistent with climatological norms for late September. No significant synoptic changes or heat intrusions are indicated in the latest updates, keeping probabilities tightly grouped around the NWS point forecast and supporting the market’s narrow distribution across the 66–71°F outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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