Trader consensus strongly favors an 88-89°F high in Miami on September 20 due to official National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing typical late-September conditions dominated by afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors promote convective cloud cover that limits peak solar heating near the 88.9°F climatological average, with surface observations confirming a maximum of 90°F amid scattered showers. NOAA data and historical analogs indicate such patterns reliably cap daily highs in this range during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. A clear-sky regime or stronger high-pressure ridge suppressing convection could have allowed readings into the low 90s, though ensemble forecasts showed low probability of those conditions materializing by the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on September 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 20?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$66,650 KL.
$66,650 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$66,650 KL.
$66,650 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
77°F or below
$9,045 KL.
No
78-79°F
$6,863 KL.
No
80-81°F
$4,410 KL.
No
82-83°F
$5,034 KL.
No
84-85°F
$5,368 KL.
No
86-87°F
$8,018 KL.
No
88-89°F
$8,197 KL.
Yes
90-91°F
$10,756 KL.
No
92-93°F
$6,898 KL.
No
94-95°F
$1,777 KL.
No
96°F or higher
$285 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors an 88-89°F high in Miami on September 20 due to official National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing typical late-September conditions dominated by afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors promote convective cloud cover that limits peak solar heating near the 88.9°F climatological average, with surface observations confirming a maximum of 90°F amid scattered showers. NOAA data and historical analogs indicate such patterns reliably cap daily highs in this range during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. A clear-sky regime or stronger high-pressure ridge suppressing convection could have allowed readings into the low 90s, though ensemble forecasts showed low probability of those conditions materializing by the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$66,650Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors an 88-89°F high in Miami on September 20 due to official National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing typical late-September conditions dominated by afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors promote convective cloud cover that limits peak solar heating near the 88.9°F climatological average, with surface observations confirming a maximum of 90°F amid scattered showers. NOAA data and historical analogs indicate such patterns reliably cap daily highs in this range during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. A clear-sky regime or stronger high-pressure ridge suppressing convection could have allowed readings into the low 90s, though ensemble forecasts showed low probability of those conditions materializing by the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$66,650Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus strongly favors an 88-89°F high in Miami on September 20 due to official National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing typical late-September conditions dominated by afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors promote convective cloud cover that limits peak solar heating near the 88.9°F climatological average, with surface observations confirming a maximum of 90°F amid scattered showers. NOAA data and historical analogs indicate such patterns reliably cap daily highs in this range during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. A clear-sky regime or stronger high-pressure ridge suppressing convection could have allowed readings into the low 90s, though ensemble forecasts showed low probability of those conditions materializing by the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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