**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,179 KL.
$107,179 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,179 KL.
$107,179 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$451 KL.
<1%
27°C
$513 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,409 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,485 KL.
<1%
30°C
$11,886 KL.
<1%
31°C
$18,147 KL.
<1%
32°C
$20,365 KL.
<1%
33°C
$26,621 KL.
100%
34°C
$20,115 KL.
<1%
35°C
$4,096 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,092 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$107,179Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$107,179Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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