Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas after separating from the Islamic Movement and adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate, at roughly five seats. This places the party near the Joint List in a tight Arab vote split, with surplus-vote agreements and legal challenges over eligibility adding uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on four to six seats because Arab turnout, competition from other lists, and potential coalition leverage as a pragmatic kingmaker remain fluid. A surge in Arab voter mobilization or stronger crossover appeal could push totals higher, while threshold risks or bloc realignments could cap them lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5 29%
4 27%
6 24.1%
7 14.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<4
11%
4
27%
5
29%
6
24%
7
16%
8+
5%
5 29%
4 27%
6 24.1%
7 14.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$1,118 KL.
11%
4
$1,827 KL.
27%
5
$1,439 KL.
29%
6
$1,617 KL.
24%
7
$1,127 KL.
16%
8+
$940 KL.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas after separating from the Islamic Movement and adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate, at roughly five seats. This places the party near the Joint List in a tight Arab vote split, with surplus-vote agreements and legal challenges over eligibility adding uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on four to six seats because Arab turnout, competition from other lists, and potential coalition leverage as a pragmatic kingmaker remain fluid. A surge in Arab voter mobilization or stronger crossover appeal could push totals higher, while threshold risks or bloc realignments could cap them lower.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,067Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas after separating from the Islamic Movement and adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate, at roughly five seats. This places the party near the Joint List in a tight Arab vote split, with surplus-vote agreements and legal challenges over eligibility adding uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on four to six seats because Arab turnout, competition from other lists, and potential coalition leverage as a pragmatic kingmaker remain fluid. A surge in Arab voter mobilization or stronger crossover appeal could push totals higher, while threshold risks or bloc realignments could cap them lower.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$8,067Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas after separating from the Islamic Movement and adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate, at roughly five seats. This places the party near the Joint List in a tight Arab vote split, with surplus-vote agreements and legal challenges over eligibility adding uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on four to six seats because Arab turnout, competition from other lists, and potential coalition leverage as a pragmatic kingmaker remain fluid. A surge in Arab voter mobilization or stronger crossover appeal could push totals higher, while threshold risks or bloc realignments could cap them lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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