Recent polls conducted in early September 2026, after parties finalized candidate lists for the October 27 Knesset election, project the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6–8 seats in most surveys. This range reflects steady Arab bloc support amid overall fragmentation, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor opposition Zionist blocs reaching a 61-seat majority. Combined Arab parties, including Ra'am, typically poll for 11–14 seats total. Trader consensus favoring 8–9 seats aligns with averages from outlets like Channel 12, Kan, and i24NEWS, while lower outcomes remain possible if turnout among Arab voters declines or smaller lists split the vote further. No major shifts have altered these projections in the past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8-9 36%
6-7 23%
<6 17%
10-11 15%
<6
17%
6-7
21%
8-9
36%
10-11
15%
12+
2%
8-9 36%
6-7 23%
<6 17%
10-11 15%
<6
17%
6-7
21%
8-9
36%
10-11
15%
12+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted in early September 2026, after parties finalized candidate lists for the October 27 Knesset election, project the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6–8 seats in most surveys. This range reflects steady Arab bloc support amid overall fragmentation, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor opposition Zionist blocs reaching a 61-seat majority. Combined Arab parties, including Ra'am, typically poll for 11–14 seats total. Trader consensus favoring 8–9 seats aligns with averages from outlets like Channel 12, Kan, and i24NEWS, while lower outcomes remain possible if turnout among Arab voters declines or smaller lists split the vote further. No major shifts have altered these projections in the past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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