**Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned forecast models showing a daytime maximum near this threshold under mostly sunny conditions.** Current observations place afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s°C, consistent with seasonal norms elevated above the long-term September average but moderated by light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Multiple sources, including Met Office and regional guidance, converge on a peak around 27–29°C, with minimal precipitation risk or cloud cover to alter the outcome. The 98.6% market-implied probability captures this strong model agreement and real-time data. Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at the Incheon station, unexpected late-day warming from shifting winds, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before midnight resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
27°C 98.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$62,540 KL.
$62,540 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$62,540 KL.
$62,540 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
$2,038 KL.
<1%
24°C
$4,681 KL.
<1%
25°C
$8,190 KL.
<1%
26°C
$14,762 KL.
<1%
27°C
$9,239 KL.
99%
28°C
$12,096 KL.
1%
29°C
$6,103 KL.
<1%
30°C
$3,360 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,501 KL.
<1%
32°C
$435 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$135 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned forecast models showing a daytime maximum near this threshold under mostly sunny conditions.**
Current observations place afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s°C, consistent with seasonal norms elevated above the long-term September average but moderated by light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Multiple sources, including Met Office and regional guidance, converge on a peak around 27–29°C, with minimal precipitation risk or cloud cover to alter the outcome. The 98.6% market-implied probability captures this strong model agreement and real-time data.
Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at the Incheon station, unexpected late-day warming from shifting winds, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$62,540Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned forecast models showing a daytime maximum near this threshold under mostly sunny conditions.**
Current observations place afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s°C, consistent with seasonal norms elevated above the long-term September average but moderated by light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Multiple sources, including Met Office and regional guidance, converge on a peak around 27–29°C, with minimal precipitation risk or cloud cover to alter the outcome. The 98.6% market-implied probability captures this strong model agreement and real-time data.
Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at the Incheon station, unexpected late-day warming from shifting winds, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$62,540Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflects the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned forecast models showing a daytime maximum near this threshold under mostly sunny conditions.** Current observations place afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s°C, consistent with seasonal norms elevated above the long-term September average but moderated by light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Multiple sources, including Met Office and regional guidance, converge on a peak around 27–29°C, with minimal precipitation risk or cloud cover to alter the outcome. The 98.6% market-implied probability captures this strong model agreement and real-time data. Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at the Incheon station, unexpected late-day warming from shifting winds, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before midnight resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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