Redistricting after a U.S. Supreme Court decision cleared Alabama’s 2023 congressional map for 2026 use has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with an R+7 partisan voting index and analysts rating the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party’s nomination in the August 11 special primary with roughly half the vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advances without a primary opponent. Recent internal Democratic polls from July and August showed a statistical tie or narrow Republican edge, though a September House Majority PAC survey found Figures leading slightly after voters heard candidate bios. National party resources are flowing into the contest ahead of the November 3 general election, with traders viewing the district’s structural shift and Republican nominee strength as the dominant factors supporting Marques’ lead in the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$43,249 KL.
$43,249 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
70%
Shomari Figures (D)
31%
$43,249 KL.
$43,249 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
$20,632 KL.
70%
Shomari Figures (D)
$22,618 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after a U.S. Supreme Court decision cleared Alabama’s 2023 congressional map for 2026 use has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with an R+7 partisan voting index and analysts rating the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party’s nomination in the August 11 special primary with roughly half the vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advances without a primary opponent. Recent internal Democratic polls from July and August showed a statistical tie or narrow Republican edge, though a September House Majority PAC survey found Figures leading slightly after voters heard candidate bios. National party resources are flowing into the contest ahead of the November 3 general election, with traders viewing the district’s structural shift and Republican nominee strength as the dominant factors supporting Marques’ lead in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$43,249Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after a U.S. Supreme Court decision cleared Alabama’s 2023 congressional map for 2026 use has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with an R+7 partisan voting index and analysts rating the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party’s nomination in the August 11 special primary with roughly half the vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advances without a primary opponent. Recent internal Democratic polls from July and August showed a statistical tie or narrow Republican edge, though a September House Majority PAC survey found Figures leading slightly after voters heard candidate bios. National party resources are flowing into the contest ahead of the November 3 general election, with traders viewing the district’s structural shift and Republican nominee strength as the dominant factors supporting Marques’ lead in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$43,249Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after a U.S. Supreme Court decision cleared Alabama’s 2023 congressional map for 2026 use has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with an R+7 partisan voting index and analysts rating the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party’s nomination in the August 11 special primary with roughly half the vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures advances without a primary opponent. Recent internal Democratic polls from July and August showed a statistical tie or narrow Republican edge, though a September House Majority PAC survey found Figures leading slightly after voters heard candidate bios. National party resources are flowing into the contest ahead of the November 3 general election, with traders viewing the district’s structural shift and Republican nominee strength as the dominant factors supporting Marques’ lead in the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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