Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the WI-07 House race because the northern Wisconsin district has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles, including double-digit Trump victories. Alfonso secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary with strong support from President Trump and ties to former district representative Sean Duffy, outpacing multiple rivals in a crowded field. The seat opened after incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, leaving Democrat Fred Clark as the general election opponent in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the November 3 election roughly seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$42,671 Обс.
$42,671 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Alfonso (R)
95%
Fred Clark (D)
3%
$42,671 Обс.
$42,671 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Alfonso (R)
$21,816 Обс.
95%
Fred Clark (D)
$20,856 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the WI-07 House race because the northern Wisconsin district has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles, including double-digit Trump victories. Alfonso secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary with strong support from President Trump and ties to former district representative Sean Duffy, outpacing multiple rivals in a crowded field. The seat opened after incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, leaving Democrat Fred Clark as the general election opponent in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the November 3 election roughly seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,671Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the WI-07 House race because the northern Wisconsin district has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles, including double-digit Trump victories. Alfonso secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary with strong support from President Trump and ties to former district representative Sean Duffy, outpacing multiple rivals in a crowded field. The seat opened after incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, leaving Democrat Fred Clark as the general election opponent in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the November 3 election roughly seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,671Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the WI-07 House race because the northern Wisconsin district has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles, including double-digit Trump victories. Alfonso secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary with strong support from President Trump and ties to former district representative Sean Duffy, outpacing multiple rivals in a crowded field. The seat opened after incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, leaving Democrat Fred Clark as the general election opponent in a contest rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the November 3 election roughly seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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