Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear frontrunner for the top LiveBench coding score by end of October, reflected in its 82.5% implied probability. This consensus stems from recent large language model releases showing strong benchmark gains in coding benchmarks relative to rivals. OpenAI trails sharply at 11.5%, indicating traders see its current offerings as less competitive on this metric. The cluster of companies at 50% odds underscores broad uncertainty, as new model updates or capability demonstrations could alter rankings before resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further releases from leading labs that may shift the competitive AI landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
Anthropic 83%
OpenAI 4.9%
SpaceXAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$19,122 Обс.
$19,122 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
83%
OpenAI
9%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Mistral
<1%
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Anthropic 83%
OpenAI 4.9%
SpaceXAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$19,122 Обс.
$19,122 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$7,271 Обс.
83%
OpenAI
$3,089 Обс.
9%
SpaceXAI
$1,081 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$520 Обс.
1%
Mistral
$552 Обс.
<1%
$546 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$499 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$484 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$297 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$426 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$334 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$395 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$507 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$468 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$410 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$363 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$454 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$364 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$398 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$355 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$310 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear frontrunner for the top LiveBench coding score by end of October, reflected in its 82.5% implied probability. This consensus stems from recent large language model releases showing strong benchmark gains in coding benchmarks relative to rivals. OpenAI trails sharply at 11.5%, indicating traders see its current offerings as less competitive on this metric. The cluster of companies at 50% odds underscores broad uncertainty, as new model updates or capability demonstrations could alter rankings before resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further releases from leading labs that may shift the competitive AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,122Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear frontrunner for the top LiveBench coding score by end of October, reflected in its 82.5% implied probability. This consensus stems from recent large language model releases showing strong benchmark gains in coding benchmarks relative to rivals. OpenAI trails sharply at 11.5%, indicating traders see its current offerings as less competitive on this metric. The cluster of companies at 50% odds underscores broad uncertainty, as new model updates or capability demonstrations could alter rankings before resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further releases from leading labs that may shift the competitive AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$19,122Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear frontrunner for the top LiveBench coding score by end of October, reflected in its 82.5% implied probability. This consensus stems from recent large language model releases showing strong benchmark gains in coding benchmarks relative to rivals. OpenAI trails sharply at 11.5%, indicating traders see its current offerings as less competitive on this metric. The cluster of companies at 50% odds underscores broad uncertainty, as new model updates or capability demonstrations could alter rankings before resolution. Key catalysts ahead include further releases from leading labs that may shift the competitive AI landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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