Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates surpassing $47 billion in May 2026 and projections reaching $100–120 billion by year-end, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, followed by a $965 billion Series H round, has accelerated preparations for a Nasdaq debut now targeted for mid-to-late October 2026, with bankers signaling potential $2 trillion-plus pricing that would eclipse recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Traders view sustained Claude model demand and AI sector multiples as the key swing factors, though any slippage in the post-Labor Day prospectus release or broader market volatility could still compress the outcome within the resolution window ending December 31, 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.1%
1.2–1.5T 1.7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.7%
$408,934 Обс.
$408,934 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.1%
1.2–1.5T 1.7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.7%
$408,934 Обс.
$408,934 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$20,779 Обс.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$26,340 Обс.
<1%
0.9–1.2T
$26,643 Обс.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,316 Обс.
2%
1.5–1.8T
$47,915 Обс.
8%
1.8T+
$200,628 Обс.
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$52,313 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates surpassing $47 billion in May 2026 and projections reaching $100–120 billion by year-end, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, followed by a $965 billion Series H round, has accelerated preparations for a Nasdaq debut now targeted for mid-to-late October 2026, with bankers signaling potential $2 trillion-plus pricing that would eclipse recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Traders view sustained Claude model demand and AI sector multiples as the key swing factors, though any slippage in the post-Labor Day prospectus release or broader market volatility could still compress the outcome within the resolution window ending December 31, 2027.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$408,934Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates surpassing $47 billion in May 2026 and projections reaching $100–120 billion by year-end, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, followed by a $965 billion Series H round, has accelerated preparations for a Nasdaq debut now targeted for mid-to-late October 2026, with bankers signaling potential $2 trillion-plus pricing that would eclipse recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Traders view sustained Claude model demand and AI sector multiples as the key swing factors, though any slippage in the post-Labor Day prospectus release or broader market volatility could still compress the outcome within the resolution window ending December 31, 2027.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$408,934Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates surpassing $47 billion in May 2026 and projections reaching $100–120 billion by year-end, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, followed by a $965 billion Series H round, has accelerated preparations for a Nasdaq debut now targeted for mid-to-late October 2026, with bankers signaling potential $2 trillion-plus pricing that would eclipse recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Traders view sustained Claude model demand and AI sector multiples as the key swing factors, though any slippage in the post-Labor Day prospectus release or broader market volatility could still compress the outcome within the resolution window ending December 31, 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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