Anthropic’s commanding 72.5% market-implied probability stems from its September 2026 disclosures detailing roughly 30,000 internal AI agents performing research and engineering tasks, with Claude now leading 26% of the company’s AI R&D work end-to-end under human oversight—up sharply from under 1% in February. Recent releases such as the open-source Claude Commerce Agents blueprint for shopping and merchant workflows, plus expanded safeguards and hardware standards for physical agents, have reinforced perceptions of superior agent reliability and deployment scale. OpenAI’s mid-September Agents API beta and enterprise coding traction provide a credible alternative at 15%, yet traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated internal agent volume and self-improvement metrics more heavily ahead of the November resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 16%
Google 7.4%
Alibaba 4.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
73%
OpenAI
16%
7%
Alibaba
4%
Z.ai
4%
Meta
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Moonshot
1%
Xiaomi
1%
ByteDance
1%
Baidu
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Microsoft
1%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 16%
Google 7.4%
Alibaba 4.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$727 Обс.
73%
OpenAI
$372 Обс.
16%
$250 Обс.
7%
Alibaba
$200 Обс.
4%
Z.ai
$251 Обс.
4%
Meta
$268 Обс.
2%
SpaceXAI
$215 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$188 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$188 Обс.
1%
Nvidia
$188 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$208 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$224 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$178 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$188 Обс.
1%
Amazon
$188 Обс.
1%
Mistral
$188 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$188 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$188 Обс.
1%
Tencent
$190 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 72.5% market-implied probability stems from its September 2026 disclosures detailing roughly 30,000 internal AI agents performing research and engineering tasks, with Claude now leading 26% of the company’s AI R&D work end-to-end under human oversight—up sharply from under 1% in February. Recent releases such as the open-source Claude Commerce Agents blueprint for shopping and merchant workflows, plus expanded safeguards and hardware standards for physical agents, have reinforced perceptions of superior agent reliability and deployment scale. OpenAI’s mid-September Agents API beta and enterprise coding traction provide a credible alternative at 15%, yet traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated internal agent volume and self-improvement metrics more heavily ahead of the November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,590Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 72.5% market-implied probability stems from its September 2026 disclosures detailing roughly 30,000 internal AI agents performing research and engineering tasks, with Claude now leading 26% of the company’s AI R&D work end-to-end under human oversight—up sharply from under 1% in February. Recent releases such as the open-source Claude Commerce Agents blueprint for shopping and merchant workflows, plus expanded safeguards and hardware standards for physical agents, have reinforced perceptions of superior agent reliability and deployment scale. OpenAI’s mid-September Agents API beta and enterprise coding traction provide a credible alternative at 15%, yet traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated internal agent volume and self-improvement metrics more heavily ahead of the November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$4,590Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s commanding 72.5% market-implied probability stems from its September 2026 disclosures detailing roughly 30,000 internal AI agents performing research and engineering tasks, with Claude now leading 26% of the company’s AI R&D work end-to-end under human oversight—up sharply from under 1% in February. Recent releases such as the open-source Claude Commerce Agents blueprint for shopping and merchant workflows, plus expanded safeguards and hardware standards for physical agents, have reinforced perceptions of superior agent reliability and deployment scale. OpenAI’s mid-September Agents API beta and enterprise coding traction provide a credible alternative at 15%, yet traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated internal agent volume and self-improvement metrics more heavily ahead of the November resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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