Google's repeated delays in delivering the long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and then shifted to July—have shaped trader expectations, with the model still in limited testing and no confirmed general availability as of mid-September. Recent releases have instead focused on specialized variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live and Live Extended Thinking models announced September 15 for real-time voice and agentic tasks, signaling ongoing refinement of the frontier lineup rather than a full Pro rollout. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with internal feedback loops and competitive benchmarking against rivals, underpins the market's strong consensus against a release by September 30, with attention now turning to potential October updates or developer events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 30 89%
September 24 3.6%
September 23 3.5%
September 30 3.3%
$105,561 Обс.
$105,561 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
September 18
<1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
2%
September 22
3%
September 23
3%
September 24
4%
September 25
<1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
<1%
September 29
3%
September 30
3%
No release by September 30
89%
No release by September 30 89%
September 24 3.6%
September 23 3.5%
September 30 3.3%
$105,561 Обс.
$105,561 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
September 18
$310 Обс.
<1%
September 19
$307 Обс.
1%
September 20
$307 Обс.
1%
September 21
$537 Обс.
2%
September 22
$584 Обс.
3%
September 23
$469 Обс.
3%
September 24
$594 Обс.
4%
September 25
$303 Обс.
<1%
September 26
$305 Обс.
<1%
September 27
$307 Обс.
<1%
September 28
$508 Обс.
<1%
September 29
$538 Обс.
3%
September 30
$868 Обс.
3%
No release by September 30
$90,111 Обс.
89%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays in delivering the long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and then shifted to July—have shaped trader expectations, with the model still in limited testing and no confirmed general availability as of mid-September. Recent releases have instead focused on specialized variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live and Live Extended Thinking models announced September 15 for real-time voice and agentic tasks, signaling ongoing refinement of the frontier lineup rather than a full Pro rollout. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with internal feedback loops and competitive benchmarking against rivals, underpins the market's strong consensus against a release by September 30, with attention now turning to potential October updates or developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$105,561Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays in delivering the long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and then shifted to July—have shaped trader expectations, with the model still in limited testing and no confirmed general availability as of mid-September. Recent releases have instead focused on specialized variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live and Live Extended Thinking models announced September 15 for real-time voice and agentic tasks, signaling ongoing refinement of the frontier lineup rather than a full Pro rollout. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with internal feedback loops and competitive benchmarking against rivals, underpins the market's strong consensus against a release by September 30, with attention now turning to potential October updates or developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$105,561Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays in delivering the long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and then shifted to July—have shaped trader expectations, with the model still in limited testing and no confirmed general availability as of mid-September. Recent releases have instead focused on specialized variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live and Live Extended Thinking models announced September 15 for real-time voice and agentic tasks, signaling ongoing refinement of the frontier lineup rather than a full Pro rollout. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with internal feedback loops and competitive benchmarking against rivals, underpins the market's strong consensus against a release by September 30, with attention now turning to potential October updates or developer events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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