Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in the Washington 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2012, and strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field. Mary Silva, the Republican nominee and 2024 repeat candidate, advanced with roughly 27 percent but faces structural disadvantages in a suburban Seattle-area district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats, where incumbency and partisan baseline typically determine outcomes absent major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still influence the November 3 general election, though none have emerged to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$45,711 Обс.
$45,711 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
$45,711 Обс.
$45,711 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzan DelBene (D)
$24,496 Обс.
96%
Mary Silva (R)
$21,215 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in the Washington 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2012, and strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field. Mary Silva, the Republican nominee and 2024 repeat candidate, advanced with roughly 27 percent but faces structural disadvantages in a suburban Seattle-area district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats, where incumbency and partisan baseline typically determine outcomes absent major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still influence the November 3 general election, though none have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,711Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in the Washington 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2012, and strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field. Mary Silva, the Republican nominee and 2024 repeat candidate, advanced with roughly 27 percent but faces structural disadvantages in a suburban Seattle-area district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats, where incumbency and partisan baseline typically determine outcomes absent major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still influence the November 3 general election, though none have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$45,711Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in the Washington 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2012, and strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field. Mary Silva, the Republican nominee and 2024 repeat candidate, advanced with roughly 27 percent but faces structural disadvantages in a suburban Seattle-area district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats, where incumbency and partisan baseline typically determine outcomes absent major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still influence the November 3 general election, though none have emerged to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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