Ongoing regional tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, including recent Israeli strikes and demolitions in southern Lebanon, sustain elevated security concerns around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A partial drawdown of non-essential personnel occurred in February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran frictions and military repositioning, yet core diplomatic functions have continued uninterrupted. September 2026 security alerts from the embassy highlight risks of escalation, airspace issues, and potential targeting of U.S. facilities, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks face delays. Trader consensus reflects the absence of confirmed plans or triggers for a complete embassy closure, despite periodic alerts and conflict flare-ups.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,400 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$119,400 Обс.
December 31
$25,298 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, including recent Israeli strikes and demolitions in southern Lebanon, sustain elevated security concerns around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A partial drawdown of non-essential personnel occurred in February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran frictions and military repositioning, yet core diplomatic functions have continued uninterrupted. September 2026 security alerts from the embassy highlight risks of escalation, airspace issues, and potential targeting of U.S. facilities, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks face delays. Trader consensus reflects the absence of confirmed plans or triggers for a complete embassy closure, despite periodic alerts and conflict flare-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$119,400Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, including recent Israeli strikes and demolitions in southern Lebanon, sustain elevated security concerns around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A partial drawdown of non-essential personnel occurred in February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran frictions and military repositioning, yet core diplomatic functions have continued uninterrupted. September 2026 security alerts from the embassy highlight risks of escalation, airspace issues, and potential targeting of U.S. facilities, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks face delays. Trader consensus reflects the absence of confirmed plans or triggers for a complete embassy closure, despite periodic alerts and conflict flare-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Обсяг
$119,400Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, including recent Israeli strikes and demolitions in southern Lebanon, sustain elevated security concerns around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A partial drawdown of non-essential personnel occurred in February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran frictions and military repositioning, yet core diplomatic functions have continued uninterrupted. September 2026 security alerts from the embassy highlight risks of escalation, airspace issues, and potential targeting of U.S. facilities, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks face delays. Trader consensus reflects the absence of confirmed plans or triggers for a complete embassy closure, despite periodic alerts and conflict flare-ups.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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