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icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Політика·Бразилія

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Політика·Бразилія

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Alexandre Guimarães 54%

Gaguim 31.3%

Eduardo Gomes 4.7%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 3.5%

Polymarket

$25,761 Обс.

Alexandre Guimarães 54%

Gaguim 31.3%

Eduardo Gomes 4.7%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 3.5%

Polymarket

$25,761 Обс.

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$13,917 Обс.

54%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$2,842 Обс.

31%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$1,282 Обс.

10%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$364 Обс.

3%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$4,410 Обс.

3%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$386 Обс.

3%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$418 Обс.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$342 Обс.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$489 Обс.

1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$358 Обс.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$357 Обс.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$311 Обс.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$284 Обс.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$25,761
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$25,761
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

77%
icon for Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

53%
icon for Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

41%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Alexandre Guimarães» з 55%, далі «Gaguim» з 31%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place» згенерував $25.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place» — «Alexandre Guimarães» з 55%. Наступний — «Gaguim» з 31%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.