James Talarico holds an 88% implied probability of winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling trends that show the Democrat building support in suburban areas previously favoring Republicans. Statewide surveys from September, including a Marist poll, place Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by six points overall, driven by double-digit leads among independents and strong performance with Hispanic voters. Private polling in overlapping districts such as State Senate District 9, which covers parts of Tarrant County, indicates a 28-point swing toward Talarico compared with 2024 presidential results. Paxton’s 10% odds align with his lower fundraising totals and ongoing challenges consolidating support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican primary. Multiple minor candidates and “other” options sit at 50%, consistent with limited evidence of competitive strength in the county. Early voting begins in October, leaving room for further shifts before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTexas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
89%
Ken Paxton (R)
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$4,882 Обс.
89%
Ken Paxton (R)
$259 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.James Talarico holds an 88% implied probability of winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling trends that show the Democrat building support in suburban areas previously favoring Republicans. Statewide surveys from September, including a Marist poll, place Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by six points overall, driven by double-digit leads among independents and strong performance with Hispanic voters. Private polling in overlapping districts such as State Senate District 9, which covers parts of Tarrant County, indicates a 28-point swing toward Talarico compared with 2024 presidential results. Paxton’s 10% odds align with his lower fundraising totals and ongoing challenges consolidating support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican primary. Multiple minor candidates and “other” options sit at 50%, consistent with limited evidence of competitive strength in the county. Early voting begins in October, leaving room for further shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,141Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.James Talarico holds an 88% implied probability of winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling trends that show the Democrat building support in suburban areas previously favoring Republicans. Statewide surveys from September, including a Marist poll, place Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by six points overall, driven by double-digit leads among independents and strong performance with Hispanic voters. Private polling in overlapping districts such as State Senate District 9, which covers parts of Tarrant County, indicates a 28-point swing toward Talarico compared with 2024 presidential results. Paxton’s 10% odds align with his lower fundraising totals and ongoing challenges consolidating support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican primary. Multiple minor candidates and “other” options sit at 50%, consistent with limited evidence of competitive strength in the county. Early voting begins in October, leaving room for further shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
Обсяг
$5,141Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...James Talarico holds an 88% implied probability of winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling trends that show the Democrat building support in suburban areas previously favoring Republicans. Statewide surveys from September, including a Marist poll, place Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by six points overall, driven by double-digit leads among independents and strong performance with Hispanic voters. Private polling in overlapping districts such as State Senate District 9, which covers parts of Tarrant County, indicates a 28-point swing toward Talarico compared with 2024 presidential results. Paxton’s 10% odds align with his lower fundraising totals and ongoing challenges consolidating support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican primary. Multiple minor candidates and “other” options sit at 50%, consistent with limited evidence of competitive strength in the county. Early voting begins in October, leaving room for further shifts before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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