Russia's Supreme Court ruling in August 2026 removed Yabloko's federal party list from the September 18–20 State Duma ballot after a Rodina party lawsuit citing alleged copyright and financing issues, following the Central Election Commission's initial July registration. This exclusion from the proportional representation system—where the 5% threshold applies—aligns with Yabloko's consistent sub-5% national results since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, limited media access, and legal pressures on opposition groups. Independent polls had shown modest recent gains in urban areas before disqualification, yet trader consensus reflects the party's effective absence from the nationwide list vote. A supervisory appeal remains pending with negligible practical impact given the election timeline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
<1% шанс
$615,537 Обс.
$615,537 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
<1% шанс
$615,537 Обс.
$615,537 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court ruling in August 2026 removed Yabloko's federal party list from the September 18–20 State Duma ballot after a Rodina party lawsuit citing alleged copyright and financing issues, following the Central Election Commission's initial July registration. This exclusion from the proportional representation system—where the 5% threshold applies—aligns with Yabloko's consistent sub-5% national results since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, limited media access, and legal pressures on opposition groups. Independent polls had shown modest recent gains in urban areas before disqualification, yet trader consensus reflects the party's effective absence from the nationwide list vote. A supervisory appeal remains pending with negligible practical impact given the election timeline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$615,537Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court ruling in August 2026 removed Yabloko's federal party list from the September 18–20 State Duma ballot after a Rodina party lawsuit citing alleged copyright and financing issues, following the Central Election Commission's initial July registration. This exclusion from the proportional representation system—where the 5% threshold applies—aligns with Yabloko's consistent sub-5% national results since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, limited media access, and legal pressures on opposition groups. Independent polls had shown modest recent gains in urban areas before disqualification, yet trader consensus reflects the party's effective absence from the nationwide list vote. A supervisory appeal remains pending with negligible practical impact given the election timeline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$615,537Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Russia's Supreme Court ruling in August 2026 removed Yabloko's federal party list from the September 18–20 State Duma ballot after a Rodina party lawsuit citing alleged copyright and financing issues, following the Central Election Commission's initial July registration. This exclusion from the proportional representation system—where the 5% threshold applies—aligns with Yabloko's consistent sub-5% national results since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, limited media access, and legal pressures on opposition groups. Independent polls had shown modest recent gains in urban areas before disqualification, yet trader consensus reflects the party's effective absence from the nationwide list vote. A supervisory appeal remains pending with negligible practical impact given the election timeline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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