Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоZenaide Maia 46%
Samanda de Lula 13%
Rafael Motta 11.6%
Styvenson Valentim 3.3%
$21,955 Обс.
$21,955 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
53%
Samanda de Lula
13%
Rafael Motta
12%
Styvenson Valentim
3%
Coronel Hélio
2%
Luciana Mandu
<1%
Rosália Fernandes
<1%
Professor Guilherme
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Zenaide Maia 46%
Samanda de Lula 13%
Rafael Motta 11.6%
Styvenson Valentim 3.3%
$21,955 Обс.
$21,955 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
$3,526 Обс.
53%
Samanda de Lula
$6,375 Обс.
13%
Rafael Motta
$3,226 Обс.
12%
Styvenson Valentim
$2,226 Обс.
3%
Coronel Hélio
$744 Обс.
2%
Luciana Mandu
$704 Обс.
<1%
Rosália Fernandes
$753 Обс.
<1%
Professor Guilherme
$609 Обс.
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$656 Обс.
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
$747 Обс.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$710 Обс.
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
$585 Обс.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$511 Обс.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$585 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,955Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$21,955Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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