Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys for the October 4, 2026, Pernambuco Senate contest, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Her consistent 17-18% support, backed by the Frente Popular de Pernambuco alliance and name recognition from prior statewide runs, has translated into the strongest trader consensus for first place. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails at 14-16% while seeking a third term, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) further back in the low double digits. Most of the remaining 12 registered candidates register negligible polling and minimal market interest. With three weeks until voting, late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMarília Arraes 65%
Humberto Costa 24.1%
Mendonça Filho 8.5%
Eduardo da Fonte 6.2%
$31,591 Обс.
$31,591 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
65%
Humberto Costa
24%
Mendonça Filho
9%
Eduardo da Fonte
6%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
Marília Arraes 65%
Humberto Costa 24.1%
Mendonça Filho 8.5%
Eduardo da Fonte 6.2%
$31,591 Обс.
$31,591 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$15,590 Обс.
65%
Humberto Costa
$9,072 Обс.
24%
Mendonça Filho
$1,327 Обс.
9%
Eduardo da Fonte
$879 Обс.
6%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$634 Обс.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$575 Обс.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$624 Обс.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$633 Обс.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$557 Обс.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$552 Обс.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$523 Обс.
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$625 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys for the October 4, 2026, Pernambuco Senate contest, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Her consistent 17-18% support, backed by the Frente Popular de Pernambuco alliance and name recognition from prior statewide runs, has translated into the strongest trader consensus for first place. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails at 14-16% while seeking a third term, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) further back in the low double digits. Most of the remaining 12 registered candidates register negligible polling and minimal market interest. With three weeks until voting, late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,591Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys for the October 4, 2026, Pernambuco Senate contest, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Her consistent 17-18% support, backed by the Frente Popular de Pernambuco alliance and name recognition from prior statewide runs, has translated into the strongest trader consensus for first place. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails at 14-16% while seeking a third term, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) further back in the low double digits. Most of the remaining 12 registered candidates register negligible polling and minimal market interest. With three weeks until voting, late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$31,591Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys for the October 4, 2026, Pernambuco Senate contest, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Her consistent 17-18% support, backed by the Frente Popular de Pernambuco alliance and name recognition from prior statewide runs, has translated into the strongest trader consensus for first place. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) trails at 14-16% while seeking a third term, with Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) further back in the low double digits. Most of the remaining 12 registered candidates register negligible polling and minimal market interest. With three weeks until voting, late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання