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icon for Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
Політика·Канада

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

icon for Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
Політика·Канада

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Navdeep Bains 50%

Lee Fairclough 40%

Dylan Marando 14.5%

Stephanie Bowman 5.5%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Navdeep Bains 50%

Lee Fairclough 40%

Dylan Marando 14.5%

Stephanie Bowman 5.5%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Navdeep Bains

Navdeep Bains

$3,678 Обс.

50%

icon for Lee Fairclough

Lee Fairclough

$1,629 Обс.

41%

icon for Dylan Marando

Dylan Marando

$221 Обс.

15%

icon for Stephanie Bowman

Stephanie Bowman

$299 Обс.

16%

icon for Eric Lombardi

Eric Lombardi

$262 Обс.

2%

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest, set for a ranked-ballot vote by party members from November 9–20 with results on November 21, features five confirmed candidates after earlier withdrawals narrowed the field. Navdeep Bains and Lee Fairclough hold the clearest leads in trader pricing, reflecting Bains’s federal cabinet experience and fundraising profile alongside Fairclough’s status as a sitting MPP and her recent endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne. Dylan Marando, Stephanie Bowman, and Eric Lombardi trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with narrower organizational bases and less caucus or high-profile support to date. The tight spread between the top two stems from a compact electorate of dues-paying members, active regional meet-and-greets through September, and competing emphases on housing, economic growth, and health care that have not yet produced decisive differentiation. Upcoming candidate events and any additional endorsements before the September 7 membership cutoff could shift momentum by clarifying second- and third-preference flows on the ranked ballot.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Обсяг
$6,090
Дата завершення
Nov 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest, set for a ranked-ballot vote by party members from November 9–20 with results on November 21, features five confirmed candidates after earlier withdrawals narrowed the field. Navdeep Bains and Lee Fairclough hold the clearest leads in trader pricing, reflecting Bains’s federal cabinet experience and fundraising profile alongside Fairclough’s status as a sitting MPP and her recent endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne. Dylan Marando, Stephanie Bowman, and Eric Lombardi trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with narrower organizational bases and less caucus or high-profile support to date. The tight spread between the top two stems from a compact electorate of dues-paying members, active regional meet-and-greets through September, and competing emphases on housing, economic growth, and health care that have not yet produced decisive differentiation. Upcoming candidate events and any additional endorsements before the September 7 membership cutoff could shift momentum by clarifying second- and third-preference flows on the ranked ballot.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Обсяг
$6,090
Дата завершення
Nov 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Navdeep Bains» з 50%, далі «Lee Fairclough» з 41%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner» — «Navdeep Bains» з 50%. Наступний — «Lee Fairclough» з 41%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.