Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the Ohio 15th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and received Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Carey secured his nomination unopposed in the May primary while Don Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Carey maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with over $3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $600,000 through June. A June poll showed Carey ahead 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, though Democratic generic ballot support appeared competitive and former President Trump’s favorability lagged in the district. These factors, alongside Carey’s 2024 general election margin, underpin trader pricing ahead of the fall campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$12,632 Обс.
$12,632 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
77%
Don Leonard (D)
22%
$12,632 Обс.
$12,632 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$4,927 Обс.
77%
Don Leonard (D)
$7,705 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the Ohio 15th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and received Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Carey secured his nomination unopposed in the May primary while Don Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Carey maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with over $3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $600,000 through June. A June poll showed Carey ahead 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, though Democratic generic ballot support appeared competitive and former President Trump’s favorability lagged in the district. These factors, alongside Carey’s 2024 general election margin, underpin trader pricing ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,632Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the Ohio 15th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and received Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Carey secured his nomination unopposed in the May primary while Don Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Carey maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with over $3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $600,000 through June. A June poll showed Carey ahead 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, though Democratic generic ballot support appeared competitive and former President Trump’s favorability lagged in the district. These factors, alongside Carey’s 2024 general election margin, underpin trader pricing ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,632Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the Ohio 15th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and received Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Carey secured his nomination unopposed in the May primary while Don Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Carey maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with over $3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $600,000 through June. A June poll showed Carey ahead 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, though Democratic generic ballot support appeared competitive and former President Trump’s favorability lagged in the district. These factors, alongside Carey’s 2024 general election margin, underpin trader pricing ahead of the fall campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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