Z.ai's rapid iteration on its GLM-5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next 5.4+ release, with GLM-5.3 (August 14, 2026) and GLM-5.3-Flash (August 26) delivering a 50% coding uplift on internal benchmarks via extended post-training on the same ~744B MoE base as 5.2, plus emergent cybersecurity skills and the first native multimodal architecture in the line (320B total/18B active parameters with hybrid sparse-linear attention). The Beijing lab's use of domestic Huawei Ascend chips, 1M-token context, MIT-style open weights, and aggressive pricing have strengthened its position against Western frontier models amid U.S. export restrictions. Expect continued focus on agentic coding and efficiency; no confirmed 5.4 timeline exists yet, though the sub-six-month cadence from GLM-5 suggests another update could arrive before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
$15,754 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
September 15
37%
September 30
55%
October 31
86%
$15,754 Обс.
September 15
$161 Обс.
37%
September 30
$8,674 Обс.
55%
October 31
$6,919 Обс.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai's rapid iteration on its GLM-5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next 5.4+ release, with GLM-5.3 (August 14, 2026) and GLM-5.3-Flash (August 26) delivering a 50% coding uplift on internal benchmarks via extended post-training on the same ~744B MoE base as 5.2, plus emergent cybersecurity skills and the first native multimodal architecture in the line (320B total/18B active parameters with hybrid sparse-linear attention). The Beijing lab's use of domestic Huawei Ascend chips, 1M-token context, MIT-style open weights, and aggressive pricing have strengthened its position against Western frontier models amid U.S. export restrictions. Expect continued focus on agentic coding and efficiency; no confirmed 5.4 timeline exists yet, though the sub-six-month cadence from GLM-5 suggests another update could arrive before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 3:49 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,754Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 3:49 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai's rapid iteration on its GLM-5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next 5.4+ release, with GLM-5.3 (August 14, 2026) and GLM-5.3-Flash (August 26) delivering a 50% coding uplift on internal benchmarks via extended post-training on the same ~744B MoE base as 5.2, plus emergent cybersecurity skills and the first native multimodal architecture in the line (320B total/18B active parameters with hybrid sparse-linear attention). The Beijing lab's use of domestic Huawei Ascend chips, 1M-token context, MIT-style open weights, and aggressive pricing have strengthened its position against Western frontier models amid U.S. export restrictions. Expect continued focus on agentic coding and efficiency; no confirmed 5.4 timeline exists yet, though the sub-six-month cadence from GLM-5 suggests another update could arrive before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$15,754Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 3:49 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Z.ai's rapid iteration on its GLM-5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next 5.4+ release, with GLM-5.3 (August 14, 2026) and GLM-5.3-Flash (August 26) delivering a 50% coding uplift on internal benchmarks via extended post-training on the same ~744B MoE base as 5.2, plus emergent cybersecurity skills and the first native multimodal architecture in the line (320B total/18B active parameters with hybrid sparse-linear attention). The Beijing lab's use of domestic Huawei Ascend chips, 1M-token context, MIT-style open weights, and aggressive pricing have strengthened its position against Western frontier models amid U.S. export restrictions. Expect continued focus on agentic coding and efficiency; no confirmed 5.4 timeline exists yet, though the sub-six-month cadence from GLM-5 suggests another update could arrive before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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