Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight contest for second place behind the leading minor-party bloc, with party-vote shares hovering in the high 20s to low 30s. National’s position as the senior coalition partner has provided some stability, yet Labour has edged ahead in several September surveys while both major parties continue to lose ground to Greens, NZ First, ACT, and the Opportunity Party. This fragmentation keeps the two-party margin narrow and sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters or minor-party thresholds. Any sustained movement in the major-party gap—driven by campaign events, economic data releases, or coalition positioning—could quickly separate the contenders before election night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 45%
New Zealand First Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$21,839 Обс.
$21,839 Обс.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
45%
New Zealand First Party
1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 45%
New Zealand First Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$21,839 Обс.
$21,839 Обс.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
$10,013 Обс.
53%
Labour Party
$6,344 Обс.
45%
New Zealand First Party
$1,613 Обс.
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,496 Обс.
<1%
Green Party
$795 Обс.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,577 Обс.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight contest for second place behind the leading minor-party bloc, with party-vote shares hovering in the high 20s to low 30s. National’s position as the senior coalition partner has provided some stability, yet Labour has edged ahead in several September surveys while both major parties continue to lose ground to Greens, NZ First, ACT, and the Opportunity Party. This fragmentation keeps the two-party margin narrow and sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters or minor-party thresholds. Any sustained movement in the major-party gap—driven by campaign events, economic data releases, or coalition positioning—could quickly separate the contenders before election night.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,839Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight contest for second place behind the leading minor-party bloc, with party-vote shares hovering in the high 20s to low 30s. National’s position as the senior coalition partner has provided some stability, yet Labour has edged ahead in several September surveys while both major parties continue to lose ground to Greens, NZ First, ACT, and the Opportunity Party. This fragmentation keeps the two-party margin narrow and sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters or minor-party thresholds. Any sustained movement in the major-party gap—driven by campaign events, economic data releases, or coalition positioning—could quickly separate the contenders before election night.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Обсяг
$21,839Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 7 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight contest for second place behind the leading minor-party bloc, with party-vote shares hovering in the high 20s to low 30s. National’s position as the senior coalition partner has provided some stability, yet Labour has edged ahead in several September surveys while both major parties continue to lose ground to Greens, NZ First, ACT, and the Opportunity Party. This fragmentation keeps the two-party margin narrow and sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters or minor-party thresholds. Any sustained movement in the major-party gap—driven by campaign events, economic data releases, or coalition positioning—could quickly separate the contenders before election night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
50%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
57%
Labour
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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