Betty McCollum’s long tenure as incumbent since 2001 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the current trader consensus, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The August 11 primaries confirmed her nomination after an 85.7% win and left Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom with limited resources and visibility. Historical results, a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits, and modest campaign fundraising on the Republican side reinforce expectations of a wide margin in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$24,286 Обс.
$24,286 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
4%
$24,286 Обс.
$24,286 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
$4,052 Обс.
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
$20,235 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s long tenure as incumbent since 2001 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the current trader consensus, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The August 11 primaries confirmed her nomination after an 85.7% win and left Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom with limited resources and visibility. Historical results, a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits, and modest campaign fundraising on the Republican side reinforce expectations of a wide margin in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,286Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s long tenure as incumbent since 2001 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the current trader consensus, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The August 11 primaries confirmed her nomination after an 85.7% win and left Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom with limited resources and visibility. Historical results, a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits, and modest campaign fundraising on the Republican side reinforce expectations of a wide margin in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,286Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Betty McCollum’s long tenure as incumbent since 2001 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the current trader consensus, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The August 11 primaries confirmed her nomination after an 85.7% win and left Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom with limited resources and visibility. Historical results, a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits, and modest campaign fundraising on the Republican side reinforce expectations of a wide margin in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome, though the structural advantages make such changes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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