Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$17,702 Обс.
$17,702 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
6%
$17,702 Обс.
$17,702 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
$6,237 Обс.
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
$11,466 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,702Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,702Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2021, Mann secured renomination with 81 percent in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64 percent, faces structural headwinds in the expansive rural district spanning much of western Kansas. The general election on November 3 features a Libertarian candidate as well, but trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the GOP in this seat. Late developments such as major national shifts or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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