Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLai Jui-lung 70%
Ko Chih-en 30.8%
Chang Ching <1%
Hsu Chih-chieh <1%
$15,034 Обс.
$15,034 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Lai Jui-lung
70%
Ko Chih-en
31%
Chang Ching
1%
Hsu Chih-chieh
1%
Lin Tai-hua
<1%
Chiu Yi-ying
<1%
Lai Jui-lung 70%
Ko Chih-en 30.8%
Chang Ching <1%
Hsu Chih-chieh <1%
$15,034 Обс.
$15,034 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Lai Jui-lung
$6,949 Обс.
70%
Ko Chih-en
$5,107 Обс.
31%
Chang Ching
$1,086 Обс.
1%
Hsu Chih-chieh
$699 Обс.
1%
Lin Tai-hua
$626 Обс.
<1%
Chiu Yi-ying
$567 Обс.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,034Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$15,034Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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