**Forecast models and observations for Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 31–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds.** This range aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (78.5%) and secondary support for 33°C (22%), while outcomes outside 31–34°C remain near zero. September climatology shows average highs declining from ~30°C early in the month toward 29°C by month-end, with typical afternoon peaks driven by solar heating moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, low humidity gradients, and negligible precipitation risk, producing consistent model consensus across sources for a peak in the low-30s Celsius. No heatwave, warm advection, or anomalous subsidence is indicated that would push readings notably higher or suppress them below seasonal norms. Traders appear to be pricing the most likely resolution window around the upper end of the expected diurnal range, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and the narrow uncertainty band typical for a well-observed urban coastal site on a stable late-summer day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
32°C 79%
33°C 21%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$16,700 Обс.
$16,700 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
79%
33°C
21%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 79%
33°C 21%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$16,700 Обс.
$16,700 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
79%
33°C
21%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observations for Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 31–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds.** This range aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (78.5%) and secondary support for 33°C (22%), while outcomes outside 31–34°C remain near zero. September climatology shows average highs declining from ~30°C early in the month toward 29°C by month-end, with typical afternoon peaks driven by solar heating moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, low humidity gradients, and negligible precipitation risk, producing consistent model consensus across sources for a peak in the low-30s Celsius. No heatwave, warm advection, or anomalous subsidence is indicated that would push readings notably higher or suppress them below seasonal norms. Traders appear to be pricing the most likely resolution window around the upper end of the expected diurnal range, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and the narrow uncertainty band typical for a well-observed urban coastal site on a stable late-summer day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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