Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$167 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$13 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$379 Обс.
2%
29°C
$393 Обс.
3%
30°C
$260 Обс.
17%
31°C
$64 Обс.
35%
32°C
$407 Обс.
33%
33°C
$185 Обс.
10%
34°C
$25 Обс.
1%
35°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$117 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,042Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,042Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання