Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
20°C 57%
21°C 30%
19°C 10%
22°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
57%
21°C
30%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 57%
21°C 30%
19°C 10%
22°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$89 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$55 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$119 Обс.
2%
18°C
$96 Обс.
3%
19°C
$224 Обс.
10%
20°C
$884 Обс.
57%
21°C
$1,108 Обс.
30%
22°C
$150 Обс.
3%
23°C
$201 Обс.
2%
24°C or higher
$142 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,212Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,212Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a September 11 high in Amsterdam near 19–20 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer norms for the region, where average highs hover around 19.5 °C and strong warming is rare without clear skies or northerly advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5 % implied probability for 20 °C and 30 % for 21 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty band in current runs, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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