Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOmar Aziz 54%
Professora Maria do Carmo 30%
Roberto Cidade 15.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,527 Обс.
$25,527 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
54%
Professora Maria do Carmo
30%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 54%
Professora Maria do Carmo 30%
Roberto Cidade 15.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,527 Обс.
$25,527 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$8,877 Обс.
54%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$5,391 Обс.
30%
Roberto Cidade
$4,178 Обс.
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,851 Обс.
1%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,543 Обс.
<1%
David Almeida
$1,911 Обс.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$1,776 Обс.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,527Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$25,527Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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