Recent polling from late August shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). Multiple surveys register these names within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting high undecided shares, voter rejection of some incumbents, and the requirement to select two senators. No major endorsements, debates, or shifts have consolidated support since the surveys, sustaining the close bunching reflected in current market pricing ahead of the October 4 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 22.1%
Maguinha Malta 20.9%
Rose de Freitas 14.9%
$40,720 Обс.
$40,720 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
32%
Fabiano Contarato
22%
Maguinha Malta
25%
Rose de Freitas
15%
Renato Casagrande
4%
Evair de Melo
10%
Callegari
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 22.1%
Maguinha Malta 20.9%
Rose de Freitas 14.9%
$40,720 Обс.
$40,720 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$21,969 Обс.
32%
Fabiano Contarato
$7,105 Обс.
22%
Maguinha Malta
$1,637 Обс.
25%
Rose de Freitas
$4,641 Обс.
15%
Renato Casagrande
$1,124 Обс.
4%
Evair de Melo
$1,285 Обс.
10%
Callegari
$803 Обс.
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$676 Обс.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$642 Обс.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$422 Обс.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$414 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). Multiple surveys register these names within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting high undecided shares, voter rejection of some incumbents, and the requirement to select two senators. No major endorsements, debates, or shifts have consolidated support since the surveys, sustaining the close bunching reflected in current market pricing ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,720Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). Multiple surveys register these names within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting high undecided shares, voter rejection of some incumbents, and the requirement to select two senators. No major endorsements, debates, or shifts have consolidated support since the surveys, sustaining the close bunching reflected in current market pricing ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$40,720Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). Multiple surveys register these names within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, reflecting high undecided shares, voter rejection of some incumbents, and the requirement to select two senators. No major endorsements, debates, or shifts have consolidated support since the surveys, sustaining the close bunching reflected in current market pricing ahead of the October 4 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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