Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRenato Casagrande 96.4%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
Maguinha Malta <1%
$12,806 Обс.
$12,806 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
96%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Callegari
1%
Maguinha Malta
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Rose de Freitas
<1%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Renato Casagrande 96.4%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
Maguinha Malta <1%
$12,806 Обс.
$12,806 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$5,875 Обс.
96%
Leonardo Monjardim
$824 Обс.
1%
Callegari
$799 Обс.
1%
Maguinha Malta
$724 Обс.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$428 Обс.
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$731 Обс.
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
$732 Обс.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$706 Обс.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$720 Обс.
<1%
Rose de Freitas
$587 Обс.
<1%
Evair de Melo
$679 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,806Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$12,806Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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