Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the 54.0% implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms amid slower monetization progress on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Traders price the leading 8–11 billion closing-market-cap outcome at 11.7% as the most plausible near-term resolution range, while broader 2026 IPO conditions favoring AI and infrastructure names continue to weigh on timing expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027 54.0%
8–11B 11.7%
11–14B 8.2%
14–17B 7.6%
$97,471 Обс.
$97,471 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
12%
11–14B
8%
14–17B
8%
17–20B
4%
20B+
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
54%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 54.0%
8–11B 11.7%
11–14B 8.2%
14–17B 7.6%
$97,471 Обс.
$97,471 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$16,497 Обс.
2%
5–8B
$5,196 Обс.
2%
8–11B
$14,594 Обс.
12%
11–14B
$11,436 Обс.
8%
14–17B
$3,141 Обс.
8%
17–20B
$5,633 Обс.
4%
20B+
$5,354 Обс.
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$35,620 Обс.
54%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the 54.0% implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms amid slower monetization progress on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Traders price the leading 8–11 billion closing-market-cap outcome at 11.7% as the most plausible near-term resolution range, while broader 2026 IPO conditions favoring AI and infrastructure names continue to weigh on timing expectations.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$97,471Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the 54.0% implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms amid slower monetization progress on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Traders price the leading 8–11 billion closing-market-cap outcome at 11.7% as the most plausible near-term resolution range, while broader 2026 IPO conditions favoring AI and infrastructure names continue to weigh on timing expectations.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$97,471Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the 54.0% implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms amid slower monetization progress on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Traders price the leading 8–11 billion closing-market-cap outcome at 11.7% as the most plausible near-term resolution range, while broader 2026 IPO conditions favoring AI and infrastructure names continue to weigh on timing expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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