OpenAI’s path to an IPO has shifted decisively following CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table, with the company prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination over near-term access to public capital. The firm confidentially filed its S-1 in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation, above its March 2026 private mark of $852 billion after a $122 billion round, yet recent market precedents like SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility have reinforced caution. With Anthropic advancing toward a potential late-2026 debut, OpenAI’s eventual closing market cap will hinge on 2027 revenue trajectory—currently on a high-growth run rate amid substantial losses—macro risk appetite, and any step-change model launches that could support or pressure the trillion-dollar threshold once trading begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,532,050 Обс.
$1,532,050 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
$800 млрд
93%
$1 трлн
93%
$1,2 трлн
86%
$1,4 трлн
86%
$1,6 трлн
72%
$1,532,050 Обс.
$1,532,050 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
$800 млрд
$111,028 Обс.
93%
$1 трлн
$1,049,925 Обс.
93%
$1,2 трлн
$249,670 Обс.
86%
$1,4 трлн
$69,598 Обс.
86%
$1,6 трлн
$51,829 Обс.
72%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO has shifted decisively following CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table, with the company prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination over near-term access to public capital. The firm confidentially filed its S-1 in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation, above its March 2026 private mark of $852 billion after a $122 billion round, yet recent market precedents like SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility have reinforced caution. With Anthropic advancing toward a potential late-2026 debut, OpenAI’s eventual closing market cap will hinge on 2027 revenue trajectory—currently on a high-growth run rate amid substantial losses—macro risk appetite, and any step-change model launches that could support or pressure the trillion-dollar threshold once trading begins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,532,050Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO has shifted decisively following CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table, with the company prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination over near-term access to public capital. The firm confidentially filed its S-1 in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation, above its March 2026 private mark of $852 billion after a $122 billion round, yet recent market precedents like SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility have reinforced caution. With Anthropic advancing toward a potential late-2026 debut, OpenAI’s eventual closing market cap will hinge on 2027 revenue trajectory—currently on a high-growth run rate amid substantial losses—macro risk appetite, and any step-change model launches that could support or pressure the trillion-dollar threshold once trading begins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Обсяг
$1,532,050Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s path to an IPO has shifted decisively following CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table, with the company prioritizing AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination over near-term access to public capital. The firm confidentially filed its S-1 in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation, above its March 2026 private mark of $852 billion after a $122 billion round, yet recent market precedents like SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility have reinforced caution. With Anthropic advancing toward a potential late-2026 debut, OpenAI’s eventual closing market cap will hinge on 2027 revenue trajectory—currently on a high-growth run rate amid substantial losses—macro risk appetite, and any step-change model launches that could support or pressure the trillion-dollar threshold once trading begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання