Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 60.4% due to its confidential S-1 filing in June and targeted late-September or October listing at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation, supported by annualized revenue surging above $47 billion and a recent private round at $965 billion. SpaceX’s completed June IPO at $1.77 trillion (first-day market cap near $2.1 trillion) accounts for its 38.5% probability as the current record holder, though Anthropic’s scale could eclipse it. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect its February acquisition by SpaceX, folding its value into the listed entity rather than enabling a standalone debut, while OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its more modest ~$1 trillion target and later timeline. Trader sentiment reflects these filing dates, revenue trajectories, and integration events as key swing factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНайбільше IPO за ринковою капіталізацією у 2026 році?
Найбільше IPO за ринковою капіталізацією у 2026 році?
Anthropic 60.5%
SpaceX 39%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,968,640 Обс.
$5,968,640 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
61%
SpaceX
39%
OpenAI
2%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Anthropic 60.5%
SpaceX 39%
OpenAI 1.9%
Discord <1%
$5,968,640 Обс.
$5,968,640 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
$1,096,685 Обс.
61%
SpaceX
$872,773 Обс.
39%
OpenAI
$552,769 Обс.
2%
Discord
$182,734 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$213,746 Обс.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 Обс.
<1%
Kraken
$656,964 Обс.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Обс.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Обс.
<1%
Revolut
$633,687 Обс.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Обс.
<1%
Databricks
$615,205 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 60.4% due to its confidential S-1 filing in June and targeted late-September or October listing at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation, supported by annualized revenue surging above $47 billion and a recent private round at $965 billion. SpaceX’s completed June IPO at $1.77 trillion (first-day market cap near $2.1 trillion) accounts for its 38.5% probability as the current record holder, though Anthropic’s scale could eclipse it. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect its February acquisition by SpaceX, folding its value into the listed entity rather than enabling a standalone debut, while OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its more modest ~$1 trillion target and later timeline. Trader sentiment reflects these filing dates, revenue trajectories, and integration events as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,968,640Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 60.4% due to its confidential S-1 filing in June and targeted late-September or October listing at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation, supported by annualized revenue surging above $47 billion and a recent private round at $965 billion. SpaceX’s completed June IPO at $1.77 trillion (first-day market cap near $2.1 trillion) accounts for its 38.5% probability as the current record holder, though Anthropic’s scale could eclipse it. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect its February acquisition by SpaceX, folding its value into the listed entity rather than enabling a standalone debut, while OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its more modest ~$1 trillion target and later timeline. Trader sentiment reflects these filing dates, revenue trajectories, and integration events as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$5,968,640Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap at 60.4% due to its confidential S-1 filing in June and targeted late-September or October listing at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation, supported by annualized revenue surging above $47 billion and a recent private round at $965 billion. SpaceX’s completed June IPO at $1.77 trillion (first-day market cap near $2.1 trillion) accounts for its 38.5% probability as the current record holder, though Anthropic’s scale could eclipse it. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect its February acquisition by SpaceX, folding its value into the listed entity rather than enabling a standalone debut, while OpenAI’s lower 1.8% odds align with its more modest ~$1 trillion target and later timeline. Trader sentiment reflects these filing dates, revenue trajectories, and integration events as key swing factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання