AfD secured a commanding lead in trader consensus to finish third in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting its consistent polling position behind Die Linke and the CDU in the final weeks. The party improved sharply from its 9.1 percent result in 2023, reaching 16.3 percent amid broader national gains on issues such as immigration and energy policy, while other parties including the Greens trailed in surveys and early counts. A firewall from mainstream parties continued to limit coalition prospects regardless of placement. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over minor parties clearing the threshold could theoretically alter rankings, though margins in confirmed results make such changes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAfD 100%
Linke <1%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$114,937 Обс.
$114,937 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
Yes
Linke
No
CDU
No
Grüne
No
SPD
No
FDP
No
FW
No
BSW
No
AfD 100%
Linke <1%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$114,937 Обс.
$114,937 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$48,768 Обс.
Yes
Linke
$16,778 Обс.
No
CDU
$16,866 Обс.
No
Grüne
$25,262 Обс.
No
SPD
$4,423 Обс.
No
FDP
$1,069 Обс.
No
FW
$713 Обс.
No
BSW
$1,058 Обс.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)AfD secured a commanding lead in trader consensus to finish third in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting its consistent polling position behind Die Linke and the CDU in the final weeks. The party improved sharply from its 9.1 percent result in 2023, reaching 16.3 percent amid broader national gains on issues such as immigration and energy policy, while other parties including the Greens trailed in surveys and early counts. A firewall from mainstream parties continued to limit coalition prospects regardless of placement. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over minor parties clearing the threshold could theoretically alter rankings, though margins in confirmed results make such changes improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Ринок відкрито: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$114,937Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)AfD secured a commanding lead in trader consensus to finish third in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting its consistent polling position behind Die Linke and the CDU in the final weeks. The party improved sharply from its 9.1 percent result in 2023, reaching 16.3 percent amid broader national gains on issues such as immigration and energy policy, while other parties including the Greens trailed in surveys and early counts. A firewall from mainstream parties continued to limit coalition prospects regardless of placement. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over minor parties clearing the threshold could theoretically alter rankings, though margins in confirmed results make such changes improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Обсяг
$114,937Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
AfD secured a commanding lead in trader consensus to finish third in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting its consistent polling position behind Die Linke and the CDU in the final weeks. The party improved sharply from its 9.1 percent result in 2023, reaching 16.3 percent amid broader national gains on issues such as immigration and energy policy, while other parties including the Greens trailed in surveys and early counts. A firewall from mainstream parties continued to limit coalition prospects regardless of placement. Late shifts in final tallies or disputes over minor parties clearing the threshold could theoretically alter rankings, though margins in confirmed results make such changes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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