The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
Grüne
90%
SPD
89%
Linke
50%
CDU
30%
FW
4%
FDP
4%
BSW
3%
AfD
2%
$6,750 Обс.
Grüne
$242 Обс.
90%
SPD
$249 Обс.
89%
Linke
$2,227 Обс.
50%
CDU
$1,602 Обс.
30%
FW
$661 Обс.
4%
FDP
$210 Обс.
4%
BSW
$290 Обс.
3%
AfD
$1,269 Обс.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,750Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Обсяг
$6,750Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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